Investigating the Causes of Non-realization of Project Prediction and Proposal of a New Prediction Framework
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Date
2024-08-22
Authors
Doskočil, Radek
Lacko, Branislav
0000-0002-9716-1411Advisor
Referee
Mark
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Prague University of Economics and Business
Altmetrics
Abstract
The main goal of the paper is to identify the causes of non-realization of project prediction and to propose a new framework for project prediction. A secondary goal is to explain why the approaches to project prediction used currently do not provide satisfactory results. The research was realised in the form of qualitative research using semi-structured interviews. The findings reveal that the main causes of non-realization of project prediction are follows: there is no methodology that could be practically used; simplified approaches to project prediction usually have low reliability for which reason they are generally unusable; suitable input data and information for project prediction are not available. The main contribution made by the paper is the identification of causes of non-realization of project prediction and the proposal of a new framework for project prediction that respects changing conditions during the lifecycle of the project and changes in the way of thinking in project prediction. A prerequisite for its application is a functioning system of knowledge management in projects, including the realization of post-project analysis.
Description
Citation
Acta Informatica Pragensia. 2024, vol. 13, issue 3, p. 418-432.
https://aip.vse.cz/pdfs/aip/2024/03/05.pdf
https://aip.vse.cz/pdfs/aip/2024/03/05.pdf
Document type
Peer-reviewed
Document version
Published version
Date of access to the full text
Language of document
en