Bank Profitability Analysis and Forecasting: Lithuania Case

dc.contributor.authorSkvarciany, Viktorij
dc.contributor.authorSimanavičiūtė, Justina
dc.coverage.issue32cs
dc.coverage.volumeXIIcs
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-15T13:13:52Z
dc.date.available2020-05-15T13:13:52Z
dc.date.issued2018-12cs
dc.description.abstractPurpose of the article: The purpose of this paper is to analyse commercial banks operating in Lithuania in terms of profitability, as it is one of the critical factors of economic development. Moreover, the profitability of commercial banks is a crucial factor for banks’ financial stability which, in turn, has an impact on the stability of the whole financial system of a country. Variables representing banks profitability are as follows: return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and return on risk assets (RORA). What is more, the forecast of the abovementioned variables was made in order to predict their values. Methodology/methods: In order to analyse and assess the dynamics of the profitability indicators (ROA, ROE, RORA), the financial reports of six banks operating in Lithuania were analysed. After analysing the profitability indicators, the forecasts for three years were made using a moving average method. Scientific aim: To analyse commercial banks profitability indicators and make a forecast. The forecast of the indicators makes it possible to conclude that the banking system of Lithuania will continue to carry out profitable activities. Findings: The findings of the research showed that the estimated values of ROA, ROE and RORA are stable. The results of indicators forecasting makes showed that the banking system of Lithuania would continue to carry out profitable activities. Conclusions: Summarising the indicators of profitability group: return on equity, return on assets, and assets and equity ratio, it can be argued that the Lithuanian banking system is able to manage resources efficiently, in order to ensure the profitability of operations, despite market disturbances, such as the financial crisis of 2008.en
dc.formattextcs
dc.format.extent101-109cs
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationTrendy ekonomiky a managementu. 2018, XII, č. 32, s. 101-109. ISSN 1802-8527.cs
dc.identifier.doi10.13164/trends.2018.32.101cs
dc.identifier.issn1802-8527
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11012/187698
dc.language.isoencs
dc.publisherVysoké učení technické v Brně, Fakulta podnikatelskács
dc.relation.ispartofTrendy ekonomiky a managementucs
dc.relation.urihttps://trends.fbm.vutbr.cz/index.php/trends/article/view/trends.2018.32.101cs
dc.rights© Vysoké učení technické v Brně, Fakulta podnikatelskács
dc.rights.accessopenAccessen
dc.subjectcommercial banken
dc.subjectreturn on assetsen
dc.subjectreturn on equityen
dc.subjectreturn on risk assetsen
dc.subjectmoving averageen
dc.titleBank Profitability Analysis and Forecasting: Lithuania Caseen
dc.type.driverarticleen
dc.type.statusPeer-revieweden
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen
eprints.affiliatedInstitution.facultyFakulta podnikatelskács
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