Multi-Objective Optimization of Resilient Design of the Multipurpose Reservoir in Conditions of Uncertain Climate Change

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dc.contributor.authorPaseka, Stanislavcs
dc.contributor.authorKapelan, Zorancs
dc.contributor.authorMarton, Danielcs
dc.coverage.issue9cs
dc.coverage.volume10cs
dc.date.issued2018-08-21cs
dc.description.abstractThis paper presents and assesses a new approach to decision-making methods for the design of new reservoirs due in times of decreasing water resources. The methods used in this case are decision theory, Resilience and Robustness method. The methods have been selected primarily to analyze different design parameters of a new dam, mainly dam heights leading to different reservoir volumes. The study presents a novel approach to the optimal design of a multipurpose reservoir that would provide enough water for downstream environmental flow, residential and industrial water supply, agricultural water supply, and hydropower generation in the current conditions of climate uncertainty. Uncertainties are interpreted as possible future changes in the climate system using outputs from regional climatic models. In the case study, a simulation model was developed which is able to quantify long-term water balance and use this data to quantify resilience and robustness of its water supply. The simulation model was correlated to the GANetXL software in order to perform Genetic Algorithms based optimization of the reservoir’s operation. The simulation–optimization model was then applied to a real-life case study in the Czech Republic, in the Morava River Basin where a new dam with the multipurpose reservoir is planned to be built in the future. The results obtained in this way were analyzed in detail to identify the overall best solution consist of dam height and the total reservoir monthly outflow and new operational rules for the analyzed multipurpose reservoir.en
dc.description.abstractThis paper presents and assesses a new approach to decision-making methods for the design of new reservoirs due in times of decreasing water resources. The methods used in this case are decision theory, Resilience and Robustness method. The methods have been selected primarily to analyze different design parameters of a new dam, mainly dam heights leading to different reservoir volumes. The study presents a novel approach to the optimal design of a multipurpose reservoir that would provide enough water for downstream environmental flow, residential and industrial water supply, agricultural water supply, and hydropower generation in the current conditions of climate uncertainty. Uncertainties are interpreted as possible future changes in the climate system using outputs from regional climatic models. In the case study, a simulation model was developed which is able to quantify long-term water balance and use this data to quantify resilience and robustness of its water supply. The simulation model was correlated to the GANetXL software in order to perform Genetic Algorithms based optimization of the reservoir’s operation. The simulation–optimization model was then applied to a real-life case study in the Czech Republic, in the Morava River Basin where a new dam with the multipurpose reservoir is planned to be built in the future. The results obtained in this way were analyzed in detail to identify the overall best solution consist of dam height and the total reservoir monthly outflow and new operational rules for the analyzed multipurpose reservoir.en
dc.formattextcs
dc.format.extent1-16cs
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfcs
dc.identifier.citationWater. 2018, vol. 10, issue 9, p. 1-16.en
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/w10091110cs
dc.identifier.issn2073-4441cs
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2198-3870cs
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-1073-5636cs
dc.identifier.other149367cs
dc.identifier.researcheridAAD-9315-2019cs
dc.identifier.researcheridAAD-4380-2019cs
dc.identifier.scopus56841532400cs
dc.identifier.scopus54791282100cs
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11012/137240
dc.language.isoencs
dc.publisherMDPI AGcs
dc.relation.ispartofWatercs
dc.relation.urihttp://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/10/9/1110cs
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 Internationalcs
dc.rights.accessopenAccesscs
dc.rights.sherpahttp://www.sherpa.ac.uk/romeo/issn/2073-4441/cs
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/cs
dc.subjectDesign and operation of the multipurpose reservoiren
dc.subjectwater deficiten
dc.subjectreservoir simulation modelen
dc.subjectclimate changeen
dc.subjectmulti-objective optimization NSGA IIen
dc.subjectresilience and robustnessen
dc.subjectcosts and benefitsen
dc.subjectwater energyen
dc.subjectDesign and operation of the multipurpose reservoir
dc.subjectwater deficit
dc.subjectreservoir simulation model
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectmulti-objective optimization NSGA II
dc.subjectresilience and robustness
dc.subjectcosts and benefits
dc.subjectwater energy
dc.titleMulti-Objective Optimization of Resilient Design of the Multipurpose Reservoir in Conditions of Uncertain Climate Changeen
dc.title.alternativeMulti-Objective Optimization of Resilient Design of the Multipurpose Reservoir in Conditions of Uncertain Climate Changeen
dc.type.driverarticleen
dc.type.statusPeer-revieweden
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen
sync.item.dbidVAV-149367en
sync.item.dbtypeVAVen
sync.item.insts2025.10.14 14:46:22en
sync.item.modts2025.10.14 09:33:20en
thesis.grantorVysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta stavební. Ústav vodního hospodářství krajinycs
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