Fuzzy model investic do High - Tech projektů
Loading...
Files
Date
2012
Authors
ORCID
Advisor
Referee
Mark
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Vysoké učení technické v Brně, Fakulta podnikatelská
Abstract
Purpose of the article: Relations among parameters of High-tech projects are very complex, vague, partially
inconsistent and multidimensional. Optimal decisions to invest into High-tech companies require top field
experts and knowledgeable investors. Therefore the conventional methods of investments analysis are not
relevant. Therefore fuzzy logic is introduced.
Methodology/methods: A fuzzy knowledge base is a flexible framework for acquisition of vague inconsistent
knowledge items which are typical for knowledge economics and consequently for High-tech projects. The
pooling of the records and / or observations represents a trade-off between minimal modification of the original
data and elimination of inconsistencies among available sets of data.
Scientific aim: The paper presents a detailed description of fuzzy model of investment decision making into
High-tech firm’s projects. A set of conditional statements was used to formalize the effects of selected variables
on investment feasibility of High-tech projects. The main aim is to quantify feasibilities of High-tech projects
risk investors make good /not bad decisions.
Findings: A set of 50 observations of High-tech companies was transformed into a set of 50 conditional
statements using 14 variables. The result is the fuzzy model, which can be used to answer investors’ queries.
Two queries are answered and presented in details as an example and as a nucleus of a fuzzy dialogue investor
– computer.
Conclusions: The main problem is the sparseness of the fuzzy model. Many fuzzy similarities are relatively
low and the decision process is therefore often problematic. A much more complex set of variables must be
applied to specify the fuzzy model to increase reliability of predictions and decisions.
Description
Citation
Trendy ekonomiky a managementu. 2012, VI, č. 12, s. 70-79. ISSN 1802-8527.
http://www.fbm.vutbr.cz/cs/fakulta/vedecky-casopis/specialni-cislo
http://www.fbm.vutbr.cz/cs/fakulta/vedecky-casopis/specialni-cislo
Document type
Peer-reviewed
Document version
Published version
Date of access to the full text
Language of document
en
Study field
Comittee
Date of acceptance
Defence
Result of defence
Document licence
© Vysoké učení technické v Brně, Fakulta podnikatelská